What « proven » actually means, in plain terms.
APLOMB does not answer « true » or « false ». It qualifies the level of proof of a claim using a closed taxonomy and a deterministic rule. The verdict and its dimensions are sealed in the certificate, and the rule is published.
Verdicts issued today
establishedOfficial sources or registry facts confirmed, with no reservation.
established_with_conditionsElements confirmed, but at least one reservation remains (unavailable source or flagged fact).
contestedA claim is contradicted by a published fact-check (AFP Factuel, Le Monde, Reuters...). It is the only external, sourced and dated signal attesting a disagreement observed outside the system.
not_establishedNo confirmed element, and at least one negative signal: a cited reference not found at the source, or a flagged fact.
insufficient_evidenceNo cross-checkable element could be confirmed.
out_of_scopeThe request is not a claim verifiable by cross-checking.
Defined, reserved for extension
These verdicts belong to the taxonomy but are not issued yet. We would rather show them than let you believe everything is already covered.
partially_establishedQualifying a share would require linking every claim to its source, which the pipeline does not do yet. Until that link exists, this verdict would be unverifiable: we would rather not issue it than guess it.
refutedDirectly contradicted by a higher-ranking source.
stale_informationOnce accurate, recency no longer guaranteed.
Five proof dimensions, not a score
The level of proof is a qualitative aggregate of these five dimensions, never a percentage: a numeric score would give false precision to a judgment of proof.
Rank of the sources used: official text, then registry fact, then published fact-check.
Freshness and temporal applicability of the confirmed elements.
Convergence across sources and, in deliberation mode, across models. Lowered by any contradiction.
Count of elements confirmed live: none, one, or at least two. It is a count, not yet a share.
A third party can retrieve the same sources and the same result.
Level of proof
- HighAt least three high dimensions, none low or not assessed, and high coverage. A single confirmed element can never be enough.
- MediumAt least two high dimensions.
- LowNone of the cases above.
- n/aVerdict out of evidentiary scope or insufficient evidence.
Two limits we document
First limit: three dimensions (authority, recency, reproducibility) derive from the same signal, one confirmed official source. They are therefore not independent. Without a guard, a single confirmed element would show three high dimensions and reach the high level: the level would look multi-axis while resting on a single fact. This is why the top tier also requires high coverage. Second, more structural limit: APLOMB currently confirms that the cited sources exist and are authentic; it does not yet establish, claim by claim, that each one is actually supported by the source next to it. Linking every claim to its source is the next piece of work. We would rather document these limits than hide them.
The rule is published
This taxonomy is not declarative: it is the rule the engine runs, exposed as-is, versioned and signed.
See the machine-readable rule